An OUNCE of fortune (good fortune) is worth a pound of forecast (wit)

Meaning & Analysis

A small quantity (an ounce) of good luck is more valuable than a large quantity (a pound) of careful planning, wisdom, or intelligence.

Insights

Supremacy of Luck

The proverb asserts the supremacy of luck over skill and preparation. It suggests that random chance and unforeseen opportunities often play a more significant role in determining success than even the most detailed strategies.

Limits of Human Agency

It highlights the inherent limitations of human control and foresight. No matter how much 'wit' or 'forecast' one applies, external, unpredictable factors can ultimately dictate the outcome of one's endeavors.

Caution Against Hubris

The proverb serves as a warning against overconfidence in one's own abilities and plans. It encourages humility and an awareness that success is never guaranteed by intellect or effort alone.

The Value of Opportunity

'Fortune' can be interpreted as the serendipitous arrival of opportunity. The proverb implies that seizing a single lucky chance can yield far greater results than years of methodical, hard work that lacks a fortunate break.

Fate vs. Free Will

This proverb reflects a worldview where fate and external forces are seen as more decisive than individual effort or intelligence. It acknowledges the limits of human agency, suggesting that despite meticulous planning, success often hinges on uncontrollable variables.

Psychological Comfort

The proverb serves as a psychological coping mechanism, offering comfort when careful plans fail. By attributing outcomes to 'fortune', it lessens the burden of personal responsibility for failure, framing it as a matter of bad luck rather than poor judgment.

Critique of Rationalism

In a world that increasingly values data-driven strategies and forecasting, this proverb serves as a timeless caution against over-reliance on intellect. It champions the role of serendipity and opportune moments, which no amount of planning can create.

Cultural Resonance

The sentiment resonates with the cross-referenced proverb 'It is better to be happy (fortunate) than wise', highlighting a recurring cultural theme that prioritizes favorable outcomes over the intellectual or moral virtues that are supposed to produce them.

Rhetorical Devices

Metaphorical Measurement

The proverb uses units of weight ('ounce', 'pound') to create a paradoxical metaphor where the smaller quantity is assigned greater value, effectively emphasizing the immense power of fortune.

Antithesis

A sharp contrast is drawn between 'fortune' (chance, luck) and 'forecast' (reason, planning), creating a powerful antithesis that underpins the proverb's core message.

Alliteration

The alliteration of 'fortune' and 'forecast' creates a rhythmic and memorable quality, making the saying more impactful and easier to recall.

luckfortuneplanningwisdomfatechance
Analyzed with gemini-2.5-pro on June 29, 2025

Transcription

Quotations

An ounce of lucke excells a pound of wit.

1611, COT., Sagesse, s.v.

(is worth an ounce [for pound of policie).

1616, DR., Fortune, s.v., no. 776

(is more worth then a pound of learning).

1659, HOW., Fr. Prov., p. 7

(is worth a pound of wisedom).

1659, HOW., It. Prov., p. 10

Rather one ounce of fortune, than a pound of wit.

1666, TOR., It. Prov., 4, p. 264

An ounce of good fortune is worth a pound of discretion; better be happy than wise.

1672, WALK., 57, p. 42

(good Fortune).

1721, KEL., p. 52
1732, FUL., no. 657

Cross References

Original Scan

An OUNCE of fortune (good fortune) is worth a pound of forecast (wit) - a scanned entry from Tilley's 1950 Dictionary of Proverbs.
Scan courtesy of HathiTrust Digital Library.
Used under CC BY-NC 3.0.

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Last updated: January 27, 2026