LIKELY lies in the mire and unlikely goes by it (gets over)

Meaning & Analysis

Someone or something that appears most capable or promising may falter or fail (lie in the mud), while the one who seems least likely may succeed or overcome the challenge.

Insights

Unpredictability of Outcomes

Challenges assumptions about ability and success, suggesting that outcomes often defy appearances and expectations. The seemingly strong may stumble, while the underestimated may prevail.

Humbling of Pride

Acts as a caution against overconfidence and superficial judgment. It implies that apparent promise or capability can lead to downfall when it breeds complacency.

Hidden Potential

Celebrates the quiet, underestimated strength of the ‘unlikely,’ emphasizing that perseverance, resilience, or grace can triumph over assumed superiority.

Folk Wisdom and Egalitarianism

The proverb reflects a deeply egalitarian folk belief: social or visible advantage does not guarantee success. It affirms the dignity and capability of the unassuming or overlooked.

Psychological Projection

Reveals the human tendency to conflate appearance with ability, often overlooking deeper qualities like persistence, humility, or resourcefulness that truly drive success.

Moral Irony

Underscores a moral irony found throughout folk culture: the one who is expected to succeed may fall, and the unexpected may rise—a motif central to biblical, literary, and proverbial traditions.

Rhetorical Devices

Antithesis

The sharp contrast between 'likely' and 'unlikely' heightens the proverb’s tension and highlights its paradoxical insight.

Imagery

The visual of one figure stuck in the mire while another passes by evokes a vivid, memorable scene that symbolizes success and failure.

Irony

The phrase’s twist—that the 'unlikely' succeeds while the 'likely' fails—creates a sense of surprise that reinforces its didactic impact.

expectationhumilityparadoxjudgmentunderdogsuccess
Analyzed with gpt-4o on July 10, 2025

Transcription

Quotations

a.1598, FERG., MS, no. 954
1668, R.B., p. 35
1670, RAY, p. 286

(gets over)

1721, KEL., p. 238

Good Likelihood is not always an infallible token of great Strength, Skill, or Fortune.

*Note

(when Unlikely gets over)

1732, FUL., no. 3242

Original Scan

LIKELY lies in the mire and unlikely goes by it (gets over) - a scanned entry from Tilley's 1950 Dictionary of Proverbs.
Scan courtesy of HathiTrust Digital Library.
Used under CC BY-NC 3.0.

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Last updated: January 27, 2026