So many DAYS old the moon is on Michaelmas DAY, so many floods

Meaning & Analysis

This piece of weather folklore claims a direct correlation between the age of the moon (in days) on Michaelmas Day (September 29) and the number of floods that will occur in the subsequent season.

Insights

Omens and Portents

The proverb serves as a powerful metaphor for the belief that cosmic events act as omens for earthly affairs. It embodies a worldview where the universe provides signs and warnings to those who know how to read them.

Belief in Cyclical Patterns

It illustrates a belief in hidden, cyclical patterns governing the natural world. The proverb suggests an interconnectedness between the lunar cycle and weather patterns, reflecting a desire to find order and predictability in a seemingly random environment.

Vulnerability to Nature

The proverb symbolizes the vulnerability of agricultural life to the whims of nature. The 'floods' represent not just literal inundations but any catastrophic, uncontrollable event that could threaten livelihood and survival.

Agricultural Significance

This proverb is rooted in the agricultural calendar, specifically Michaelmas (September 29), a key date for settling accounts and preparing for winter. It reflects the deep-seated anxiety of agrarian societies regarding winter weather, where floods could devastate communities.

Lunar Superstition

The proverb exemplifies the ancient and widespread belief in lunar influence over terrestrial events. The moon's phase was seen as a key to predicting everything from tides to human fortune, and this saying applies that logic directly to weather forecasting.

Psychology of Control

Psychologically, the proverb provides a sense of order and predictability in the face of nature's chaos. By offering a simple formula—the moon's age equals the number of floods—it creates an illusion of control and foresight, helping to manage anxiety about the future.

Rhetorical Devices

Parallelism

The parallel structure 'So many... so many...' creates a direct, formulaic relationship between cause and effect, giving the proverb a tone of authoritative, ancient wisdom.

Symbolism

The moon symbolizes cosmic influence and predictive power, while 'floods' represent natural disaster and chaos. Michaelmas Day anchors this cosmic drama in the specific timeline of the agricultural year.

Declarative Tone

The proverb is stated as a direct, unqualified fact. This confident, declarative tone enhances its persuasive power and memorability as a piece of folklore.

folkloreweathersuperstitionmoonagricultureomen
Analyzed with gemini-2.5-pro on July 4, 2025

Transcription

Quotations

(They say) so many dayes old the Moon is on Michaelmass day, so many Floods after.

1661, M. STEVENSON, Twelve Months Sept., p. 44

Original Scan

So many DAYS old the moon is on Michaelmas DAY, so many floods - a scanned entry from Tilley's 1950 Dictionary of Proverbs.
Scan courtesy of HathiTrust Digital Library.
Used under CC BY-NC 3.0.

© 2026 TilleyProverbs.com · About

Last updated: January 27, 2026